Leganes vs Valladolid Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 24 May, 18:30
Leganes
30 Full time
Valladolid
Leganes 3–0 Valladolid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (70%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 70%
Draw 17%
Away 13%

💡 Leganes are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 85.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 85.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1427 v 1272 Leganes rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leganes v Valladolid

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Why we predict this

  • Leganes is the stronger side on Power Rating (1427 vs 1272).
  • Leganes is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leganes
Form Index
Leganes
Goal expectation
Leganes
Home advantage
Leganes

Green = favours Leganes · Blue = favours Valladolid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeganesDDWLW1.6 ppg
ValladolidLLLLL0 ppg
Power Rating
Leganes1427
Valladolid1272
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 22% · 16%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning76% · 14% · 11%

AI match preview

Leganes enter this La Liga clash with a strong 70% chance of securing a home win against Valladolid, supported by an expected goals advantage of 2.26 to 1.10. Despite the home side’s edge, the model also highlights a 17% probability of a draw, with 1-1 emerging as the most likely scoreline, suggesting a competitive encounter. With a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging match, though these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.26 – 1.10

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Leganes 3–0 Valladolid
Aug 2024 Valladolid 0–0 Leganes