Alaves vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sat 24 May, 21:00
Alaves
11 Full time
Osasuna
Alaves 1–1 Osasuna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 30%
Away 35%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 35.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 35.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1467 v 1523 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index WDLWW v WLDWW Alaves 2.0 · Osasuna 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Osasuna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1523 vs 1467).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Alaves
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesWDLWW2.0 ppg
OsasunaWLDWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1467
Osasuna1523
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 39% · 25%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning48% · 26% · 27%

AI match preview

Alaves and Osasuna are poised for a tightly contested La Liga clash, with model projections showing an evenly split probability between a home win and an away victory at 35% each, while a draw holds a 30% chance. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with a 0-0 draw the most likely outcome and only a 20% chance of over 2.5 goals. Both teams may struggle to find the net, reflected in a modest 30% probability for both teams to score; as always, these projections are statistical estimates and fans should gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.87 – 0.67

Most likely score

0-0

23% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 20%

Under 80%

Both teams to score

Yes 30%

No 70%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Alaves 1–1 Osasuna
Dec 2024 Osasuna 2–2 Alaves