Girona vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 24/25 · Sun 25 May, 14:00
Girona
04 Full time
Ath Madrid
Girona 0–4 Ath Madrid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 26%
Away 47%

💡 Ath Madrid are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1422 v 1608 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index DWLWL v WDWLW Girona 1.4 · Ath Madrid 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Ath Madrid

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1608 vs 1422).
  • Ath Madrid is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaDWLWL1.4 ppg
Ath MadridWDWLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1422
Ath Madrid1608
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 30% · 48%
Power Rating28% · 16% · 56%
Machine-learning22% · 31% · 47%

AI match preview

Girona host Atlético Madrid in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a modest 47% chance of victory, according to model projections, while a draw is nearly as likely at 26%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with both sides potentially scoring, as reflected in the 49% probability for both teams to score and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With under 2.5 goals favored at 56%, this match could hinge on small margins—remember, these are statistical estimates and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.95 – 1.48

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Girona 0–4 Ath Madrid
Aug 2024 Ath Madrid 3–0 Girona