Mallorca vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 15:15
Mallorca
32 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Mallorca 3–2 Ath Bilbao

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (28%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 28%
Away 35%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1456 v 1466 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index DWDLL v LWLLD Mallorca 1.0 · Ath Bilbao 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Mallorca v Ath Bilbao

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1456 vs 1466).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Mallorca
Goal expectation
Mallorca
Home advantage
Mallorca

Green = favours Mallorca · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MallorcaDWDLL1.0 ppg
Ath BilbaoLWLLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Mallorca1456
Ath Bilbao1466
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 31% · 24%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning50% · 26% · 24%

AI match preview

Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao are set for a tightly contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Mallorca at 36% compared to 35% for Bilbao, and a 28% chance of a draw. Expected goals suggest a modest scoring affair (1.34 for Mallorca and 0.93 for Bilbao), with the most probable scoreline being a 1-1 stalemate. With only a 40% probability for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.34 – 0.93

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Mallorca 3–2 Ath Bilbao
Oct 2025 Ath Bilbao 2–1 Mallorca