Ath Madrid vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 18 Jan, 15:15
Ath Madrid
10 Full time
Alaves
Ath Madrid 1–0 Alaves

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (74%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 74%
Draw 15%
Away 10%

💡 Ath Madrid are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 90.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 90.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1594 v 1443 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index LLWWD v WLLDL Ath Madrid 1.4 · Alaves 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ath Madrid v Alaves

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1594 vs 1443).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Ath Madrid

Green = favours Ath Madrid · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath MadridLLWWD1.4 ppg
AlavesWLLDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Madrid1594
Alaves1443
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model78% · 17% · 5%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning90% · 5% · 6%

AI match preview

Atletico Madrid are strong favorites to secure a home victory against Alaves, with a 74% chance according to the model and a high confidence rating of 90.2/100. The expected goals suggest a dominant performance from Atletico, likely resulting in a 2-0 scoreline, while the probability of both teams scoring remains low at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is slightly more likely than not at 52%, but as always, these projections are statistical in nature—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.31 – 0.47

Most likely score

2-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Ath Madrid 1–0 Alaves
Aug 2025 Alaves 1–1 Ath Madrid