Vallecano vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sat 24 Jan, 13:00
Vallecano
13 Full time
Osasuna
Vallecano 1–3 Osasuna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 30%
Away 26%

💡 Vallecano have a slight edge — leaning Vallecano, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1466 v 1465 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index DLDWL v LWDLW Vallecano 1.0 · Osasuna 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Osasuna

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1466 vs 1465).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (0.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoDLDWL1.0 ppg
OsasunaLWDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1466
Osasuna1465
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 42% · 13%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning43% · 28% · 28%

AI match preview

Vallecano hold a 44% chance of securing a home win against Osasuna, with the model favoring a low-scoring encounter given the expected goals of 0.85 to 0.34. Despite the home advantage, the most probable outcome is a goalless draw, reflecting a tight defensive battle. With just a 12% chance of over 2.5 goals and 18% for both teams to score, this match could be a cautious affair; remember these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.85 – 0.34

Most likely score

0-0

32% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 12%

Under 88%

Both teams to score

Yes 18%

No 82%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Vallecano 1–3 Osasuna
Sept 2025 Osasuna 2–0 Vallecano