Alaves vs Betis Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 25 Jan, 20:00
Alaves
21 Full time
Betis
Alaves 2–1 Betis

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (34%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 34%
Away 35%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (34%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 35.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 35.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1438 v 1547 Betis rated higher
Form Index LLDLL v DWLDW Alaves 0.2 · Betis 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Betis is the stronger side on Power Rating (1547 vs 1438).
  • Betis is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Betis
Form Index
Betis
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Betis. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesLLDLL0.2 ppg
BetisDWLDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1438
Betis1547
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 31% · 33%
Power Rating34% · 23% · 43%
Machine-learning13% · 54% · 34%

AI match preview

Alaves and Betis are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving the away side a slight edge at 35% to win, while a draw is the most probable outcome at 34%. Both teams are expected to score around 1.2 goals each, suggesting a tightly balanced game likely to end 1-1. With a 50% chance of both teams scoring and only a 42% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, fans should anticipate a competitive, low-scoring encounter. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.16

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Alaves 2–1 Betis
Aug 2025 Betis 1–0 Alaves