Espanol vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Fri 30 Jan, 20:00
Espanol
12 Full time
Alaves
Espanol 1–2 Alaves

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 26%
Away 21%

💡 Espanol are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1501 v 1450 Espanol rated higher
Form Index WLDLL v LDLLW Espanol 0.8 · Alaves 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Espanol v Alaves

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Why we predict this

  • Espanol is the stronger side on Power Rating (1501 vs 1450).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Espanol
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Espanol
Home advantage
Espanol

Green = favours Espanol · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EspanolWLDLL0.8 ppg
AlavesLDLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Espanol1501
Alaves1450
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 33% · 17%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning66% · 17% · 17%

AI match preview

Espanyol hold a 53% probability of securing a home victory against Alaves in this La Liga clash, with the model suggesting a cautious 1-0 outcome as the most likely scoreline. The expected goals tally favors the hosts at 1.25 compared to Alaves’ 0.62, indicating a potential edge in attacking efficiency. With under 2.5 goals and a low chance of both teams scoring, this match may lean towards a tight contest; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and should be approached responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.25 – 0.62

Most likely score

1-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Espanol 1–2 Alaves
Nov 2025 Alaves 2–1 Espanol