Oviedo vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sat 31 Jan, 13:00
Oviedo
10 Full time
Girona
Oviedo 1–0 Girona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (35%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 35%
Away 36%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (35%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1391 v 1474 Girona rated higher
Form Index DDDLL v LWWWD Oviedo 0.6 · Girona 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Girona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1474 vs 1391).
  • Girona is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Oviedo

Green = favours Oviedo · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OviedoDDDLL0.6 ppg
GironaLWWWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Oviedo1391
Girona1474
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 36% · 45%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 39%
Machine-learning16% · 55% · 29%

AI match preview

Oviedo hosts Girona in a La Liga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 36%, closely matched by a draw at 35%, leaving the home side with a 29% chance. Expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with 0.62 for Oviedo and 1.09 for Girona, and the most likely outcome is a goalless draw. With only a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, this match could be a tight battle — remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.62 – 1.09

Most likely score

0-0

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 25%

Under 75%

Both teams to score

Yes 32%

No 68%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Oviedo 1–0 Girona
Oct 2025 Girona 3–3 Oviedo