Osasuna vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sat 31 Jan, 15:15
Osasuna
22 Full time
Villarreal
Osasuna 2–2 Villarreal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 29%
Away 39%

💡 Villarreal have a slight edge — leaning Villarreal, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 40.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1485 v 1575 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index WDLWW v LWWLL Osasuna 2.0 · Villarreal 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Osasuna v Villarreal

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Why we predict this

  • Villarreal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1575 vs 1485).
  • Osasuna is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Osasuna
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaWDLWW2.0 ppg
VillarrealLWWLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1485
Villarreal1575
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 27% · 34%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning18% · 34% · 48%

AI match preview

Osasuna host Villarreal in a tightly contested La Liga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 39%, though a draw remains a strong possibility. Both sides are expected to find the net, with a 62% probability of BTTS and a 58% chance of the match exceeding 2.5 goals, reflecting an open game. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, but with close expected goals of 1.58 for Osasuna and 1.44 for Villarreal, outcomes could vary—remember to consider these as statistical projections and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.44

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Osasuna 2–2 Villarreal
Sept 2025 Villarreal 2–1 Osasuna