Real Madrid vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 1 Feb, 13:00
Real Madrid
21 Full time
Vallecano
Real Madrid 2–1 Vallecano

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (78%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 78%
Draw 13%
Away 9%

💡 Real Madrid are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1646 v 1446 Real Madrid rated higher
Form Index WWWWW v LDWLL Real Madrid 3.0 · Vallecano 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Real Madrid v Vallecano

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Why we predict this

  • Real Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1646 vs 1446).
  • Real Madrid is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Madrid
Form Index
Real Madrid
Goal expectation
Real Madrid
Home advantage
Real Madrid

Green = favours Real Madrid · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Real MadridWWWWW3.0 ppg
VallecanoLDWLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Real Madrid1646
Vallecano1446
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model77% · 17% · 6%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning94% · 2% · 4%

AI match preview

Real Madrid are strong favorites to claim victory against Vallecano, with a 78% probability of winning and a projected 2-0 scoreline reflecting their expected dominance in attack (2.37 goals) over the visitors (0.57 goals). The model suggests a moderate chance of the match exceeding 2.5 goals (56%) but a lower likelihood of both teams scoring (40%), indicating a potential clean sheet for the hosts. These statistical projections provide insight but remember to gamble responsibly and only wager if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.37 – 0.57

Most likely score

2-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Santiago Bernabeu Madrid, Spain Capacity 78,297 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Real Madrid 2–1 Vallecano
Nov 2025 Vallecano 0–0 Real Madrid