Ath Bilbao vs Sociedad Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 1 Feb, 20:00
Ath Bilbao
11 Full time
Sociedad
Ath Bilbao 1–1 Sociedad

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (34%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 34%
Away 30%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (34%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1447 v 1512 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index LLDLL v DDWWW Ath Bilbao 0.2 · Sociedad 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ath Bilbao v Sociedad

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Why we predict this

  • Sociedad is the stronger side on Power Rating (1512 vs 1447).
  • Sociedad is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Sociedad
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Ath Bilbao

Green = favours Ath Bilbao · Blue = favours Sociedad. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath BilbaoLLDLL0.2 ppg
SociedadDDWWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Bilbao1447
Sociedad1512
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 34% · 36%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning22% · 52% · 26%

AI match preview

Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring a draw at 34% probability and a modest 37.1/100 confidence level. Expected goals are low and balanced, around 1.00 for the home side and 1.09 for the visitors, suggesting a tight match likely to end 1-1. While both teams to score has a 44% chance, the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is only 35%, indicating a potentially cautious encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.09

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Ath Bilbao 1–1 Sociedad
Nov 2025 Sociedad 3–2 Ath Bilbao