Alaves vs Getafe Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 8 Feb, 13:00
Alaves
02 Full time
Getafe
Alaves 0–2 Getafe

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 29%
Away 25%

💡 Alaves are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1465 v 1440 Alaves rated higher
Form Index DLLWW v DLLDD Alaves 1.4 · Getafe 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alaves v Getafe

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1465 vs 1440).
  • Alaves is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alaves
Form Index
Alaves
Goal expectation
Alaves
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Getafe. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesDLLWW1.4 ppg
GetafeDLLDD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1465
Getafe1440
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 31% · 18%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning56% · 18% · 26%

AI match preview

Alaves hold a slight edge over Getafe with a 46% chance of a home win, while a draw stands at 29% and an away victory at 25%, according to the model. The expected goals favor Alaves at 1.41 compared to Getafe’s 0.75, making a 1-0 scoreline the most probable outcome. With only a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, this game may lean towards a tight, low-scoring affair—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.41 – 0.75

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Alaves 0–2 Getafe
Sept 2025 Getafe 1–1 Alaves