Sevilla vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 8 Feb, 15:15
Sevilla
11 Full time
Girona
Sevilla 1–1 Girona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 29%
Away 26%

💡 Sevilla have a slight edge — leaning Sevilla, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1434 v 1463 Girona rated higher
Form Index LLDWL v WWWDL Sevilla 0.8 · Girona 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla v Girona

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1434 vs 1463).
  • Girona is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Sevilla
Home advantage
Sevilla

Green = favours Sevilla · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SevillaLLDWL0.8 ppg
GironaWWWDL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla1434
Girona1463
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 28% · 31%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning43% · 41% · 17%

AI match preview

Sevilla and Girona are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 44% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. The expected goals are fairly balanced (1.56 for Sevilla, 1.33 for Girona), reflecting the likelihood of a tight encounter, with 1-1 as the most probable scoreline. There is also a moderate chance for goals, with 55% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.33

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Sevilla 1–1 Girona
Aug 2025 Girona 0–2 Sevilla