Elche vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Fri 13 Feb, 20:00
Elche
00 Full time
Osasuna
Elche 0–0 Osasuna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 31%
Away 31%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1449 v 1500 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index DDLLL v LWWDW Elche 0.4 · Osasuna 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Osasuna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1500 vs 1449).
  • Osasuna is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Elche
Home advantage
Elche

Green = favours Elche · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ElcheDDLLL0.4 ppg
OsasunaLWWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Elche1449
Osasuna1500
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 31% · 18%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning41% · 42% · 17%

AI match preview

Elche host Osasuna in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 38% chance to win, while a draw is the most probable outcome at 31%. The model projects a low-scoring affair, with Elche expected to net 1.41 goals against Osasuna’s 0.74, making a 1-0 result the likeliest scoreline. With under 2.5 goals favored and both teams scoring seen as less than even odds, this match could hinge on tight defensive play—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.41 – 0.74

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Elche 0–0 Osasuna
Sept 2025 Osasuna 1–1 Elche