Sevilla vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sat 14 Feb, 17:30
Sevilla
11 Full time
Alaves
Sevilla 1–1 Alaves

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 28%
Away 24%

💡 Sevilla are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1433 v 1444 Alaves rated higher
Form Index LDWLD v LLWWL Sevilla 1.0 · Alaves 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla v Alaves

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1433 vs 1444).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alaves
Form Index
Alaves
Goal expectation
Sevilla
Home advantage
Sevilla

Green = favours Sevilla · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SevillaLDWLD1.0 ppg
AlavesLLWWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla1433
Alaves1444
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 31% · 21%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning59% · 24% · 17%

AI match preview

Sevilla hosts Alaves in a La Liga clash where the model favors a home win with a 48% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 28%. The expected goals suggest a moderately tight contest, with Sevilla edging 1.39 to 0.84, and the most likely scoreline predicted as 1-1. While goals may be limited, with just a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance both teams score, fans should keep an eye on a closely fought encounter; remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.39 – 0.84

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Sevilla 1–1 Alaves
Sept 2025 Alaves 1–2 Sevilla