Vallecano vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 15 Feb, 15:15
Vallecano
30 Full time
Ath Madrid
Vallecano 3–0 Ath Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 31%
Away 48%

💡 Ath Madrid are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 52.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1442 v 1590 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index DWLLL v DWWDL Vallecano 0.8 · Ath Madrid 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Ath Madrid

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1590 vs 1442).
  • Ath Madrid is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoDWLLL0.8 ppg
Ath MadridDWWDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1442
Ath Madrid1590
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 38% · 39%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 50%
Machine-learning12% · 50% · 38%

AI match preview

Vallecano host Ath Madrid in a La Liga clash where the model favors an away win at 48%, though a draw is also a strong possibility at 31%. Expected goals suggest a tight, low-scoring game with a most likely 0-0 result and only a 21% chance of over 2.5 goals. With both teams projected to struggle offensively, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.65 – 0.93

Most likely score

0-0

22% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 21%

Under 79%

Both teams to score

Yes 31%

No 69%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Vallecano 3–0 Ath Madrid
Sept 2025 Ath Madrid 3–2 Vallecano