Girona vs Barcelona Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Mon 16 Feb, 20:00
Girona
21 Full time
Barcelona
Girona 2–1 Barcelona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (69%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 12%
Draw 19%
Away 69%

💡 Barcelona are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 82.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 82.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1464 v 1685 Barcelona rated higher
Form Index WWDLD v WLWWW Girona 1.6 · Barcelona 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Barcelona

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Why we predict this

  • Barcelona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1685 vs 1464).
  • Barcelona is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Barcelona
Form Index
Barcelona
Goal expectation
Barcelona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Barcelona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaWWDLD1.6 ppg
BarcelonaWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1464
Barcelona1685
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model9% · 15% · 75%
Power Rating25% · 13% · 62%
Machine-learning2% · 35% · 63%

AI match preview

Girona face a tough challenge at home against Barcelona, with the model giving the visitors a strong 69% chance of victory and an expected goals tally nearly three times higher than the hosts. A 2-1 scoreline is the most likely outcome, supported by a high 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance both teams will score. These projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly—gamble with care (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.03 – 2.93

Most likely score

1-2

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 76%

Under 24%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Girona 2–1 Barcelona
Oct 2025 Barcelona 2–1 Girona