Ath Bilbao vs Elche Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Fri 20 Feb, 20:00
Ath Bilbao
21 Full time
Elche
Ath Bilbao 2–1 Elche

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 23%
Away 24%

💡 Ath Bilbao are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1472 v 1448 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index LLDWW v DLLLD Ath Bilbao 1.4 · Elche 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ath Bilbao v Elche

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1472 vs 1448).
  • Ath Bilbao is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Ath Bilbao

Green = favours Ath Bilbao · Blue = favours Elche. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath BilbaoLLDWW1.4 ppg
ElcheDLLLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Bilbao1472
Elche1448
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 28% · 23%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning48% · 18% · 34%

AI match preview

Ath Bilbao hosts Elche in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 52% chance of victory, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.64 to 1.06. Despite this, the model suggests a closely contested match, with a 23% chance of a draw and the most likely scoreline being 1-1. There’s a balanced probability for over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (54%), highlighting potential attacking opportunities on both sides; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.06

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Ath Bilbao 2–1 Elche
Oct 2025 Elche 0–0 Ath Bilbao