Sociedad vs Oviedo Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sat 21 Feb, 13:00
Sociedad
33 Full time
Oviedo
Sociedad 3–3 Oviedo

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (66%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 66%
Draw 19%
Away 15%

💡 Sociedad are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 79.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 79.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1514 v 1391 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index WWDWL v DLLWL Sociedad 2.0 · Oviedo 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sociedad v Oviedo

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Why we predict this

  • Sociedad is the stronger side on Power Rating (1514 vs 1391).
  • Sociedad is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Sociedad
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Sociedad

Green = favours Sociedad · Blue = favours Oviedo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SociedadWWDWL2.0 ppg
OviedoDLLWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Sociedad1514
Oviedo1391
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model64% · 22% · 14%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning85% · 6% · 10%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad are favored to claim victory against Oviedo with a 66% probability, supported by a strong confidence rating of nearly 80%. The model projects a 2-0 scoreline, reflecting Sociedad’s expected 2.21 goals compared to Oviedo’s 0.98, while there’s a 62% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals and a 57% likelihood both teams will score. These projections offer insight based on current data, but remember to consider all factors and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.21 – 0.98

Most likely score

2-0

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Sociedad 3–3 Oviedo
Aug 2025 Oviedo 1–0 Sociedad