Osasuna vs Real Madrid Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sat 21 Feb, 17:30
Osasuna
21 Full time
Real Madrid
Osasuna 2–1 Real Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 27%
Away 53%

💡 Real Madrid are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 59.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1501 v 1670 Real Madrid rated higher
Form Index WWDWD v WWWWW Osasuna 2.2 · Real Madrid 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Osasuna v Real Madrid

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Real Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1670 vs 1501).
  • Real Madrid is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 2.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Madrid
Form Index
Real Madrid
Goal expectation
Real Madrid
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Real Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaWWDWD2.2 ppg
Real MadridWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1501
Real Madrid1670
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 25% · 52%
Power Rating29% · 18% · 53%
Machine-learning7% · 50% · 43%

AI match preview

Osasuna host Real Madrid in this La Liga clash where the model gives the visitors a 53% chance to win, though a draw is also quite possible at 27%. The expected goals suggest a tight encounter with a 1-1 scoreline as the most likely outcome, while over 2.5 goals and both teams to score scenarios hold probabilities around 60%. These projections are based on statistical analysis—please remember to gamble responsibly and only bet if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.90

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Osasuna 2–1 Real Madrid
Aug 2025 Real Madrid 1–0 Osasuna