Alaves vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Mon 23 Feb, 20:00
Alaves
22 Full time
Girona
Alaves 2–2 Girona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 32%
Away 30%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 40.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1446 v 1479 Girona rated higher
Form Index LWWLD v WDLDW Alaves 1.4 · Girona 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1446 vs 1479).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Alaves
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesLWWLD1.4 ppg
GironaWDLDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1446
Girona1479
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 32% · 27%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning30% · 43% · 27%

AI match preview

Alaves and Girona are poised for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to a draw at 32% probability and a predicted 1-1 scoreline. Both teams are expected to score, as indicated by a 47% chance of BTTS, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals remains relatively low at 40%. These projections suggest a tight, evenly matched game, but remember they are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.00

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Alaves 2–2 Girona
Nov 2025 Girona 1–0 Alaves