Valencia vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 1 Mar, 15:15
Valencia
10 Full time
Osasuna
Valencia 1–0 Osasuna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 32%
Away 29%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 41.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1464 v 1515 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index WLLWL v WDWDW Valencia 1.2 · Osasuna 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valencia v Osasuna

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Why we predict this

  • Osasuna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1515 vs 1464).
  • Osasuna is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Valencia
Home advantage
Valencia

Green = favours Valencia · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValenciaWLLWL1.2 ppg
OsasunaWDWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Valencia1464
Osasuna1515
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 36% · 22%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning37% · 37% · 26%

AI match preview

Valencia and Osasuna are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side but a draw remains the most probable outcome at 32%. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with 1.04 for Valencia and 0.69 for Osasuna, making a 0-0 result the most likely scoreline. With only a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% probability of both teams scoring, fans should anticipate a tight, tactical battle; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.04 – 0.69

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 25%

Under 75%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Mestalla Valencia, Spain Capacity 49,430 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Valencia 1–0 Osasuna
Aug 2025 Osasuna 1–0 Valencia