Girona vs Celta Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 1 Mar, 20:00
Girona
12 Full time
Celta
Girona 1–2 Celta

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 28%
Away 39%

💡 Celta have a slight edge — leaning Celta, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 40.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1480 v 1532 Celta rated higher
Form Index DLDWD v LDLDW Girona 1.2 · Celta 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Celta

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Celta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1532 vs 1480).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Celta
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Celta
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Celta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaDLDWD1.2 ppg
CeltaLDLDW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1480
Celta1532
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 28% · 56%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning28% · 26% · 47%

AI match preview

Girona host Celta in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a slight edge with a 39% chance of winning, while the home side stands at 34%, and a draw is pegged at 28%. The model projects a low-scoring encounter with expected goals at 0.79 for Girona and 1.63 for Celta, making a 0-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. With under 2.5 goals favored and both teams to score at just 46%, this match could be closely contested; remember these are statistical insights and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.79 – 1.63

Most likely score

0-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Girona 1–2 Celta
Sept 2025 Celta 1–1 Girona