Sevilla vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 8 Mar, 17:30
Sevilla
11 Full time
Vallecano
Sevilla 1–1 Vallecano

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 29%
Away 29%

💡 Sevilla have a slight edge — leaning Sevilla, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1451 v 1481 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index LDDWD v LWDDW Sevilla 1.2 · Vallecano 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla v Vallecano

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1451 vs 1481).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Sevilla
Home advantage
Sevilla

Green = favours Sevilla · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SevillaLDDWD1.2 ppg
VallecanoLWDDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla1451
Vallecano1481
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 29% · 26%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning51% · 29% · 20%

AI match preview

Sevilla host Vallecano in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 42% chance to win, though a draw and an away victory both stand at 29%. The model projects a close contest with expected goals at 1.53 for Sevilla and 1.12 for Vallecano, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With a 54% probability for both teams to score and just under half the chances for over 2.5 goals, this match looks finely balanced—remember these are statistical projections, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.12

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Sevilla 1–1 Vallecano
Sept 2025 Vallecano 0–1 Sevilla