Osasuna vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sat 21 Mar, 17:30
Osasuna
10 Full time
Girona
Osasuna 1–0 Girona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 27%
Away 26%

💡 Osasuna are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1487 v 1485 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index DWLDL v WDLDW Osasuna 1.0 · Girona 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Osasuna v Girona

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1487 vs 1485).
  • Girona is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Osasuna
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaDWLDL1.0 ppg
GironaWDLDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1487
Girona1485
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 26% · 23%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning44% · 34% · 22%

AI match preview

Osasuna hosts Girona in a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving the home side a slight 47% edge and a moderate 52/100 confidence in a home win. Both teams are projected to find the net, as indicated by a 59% probability of BTTS and an expected goals tally suggesting a tight 1-1 outcome. While over 2.5 goals is slightly favored at 57%, these projections reflect probabilities rather than certainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Osasuna 1–0 Girona
Jan 2026 Girona 1–0 Osasuna