Vallecano vs Elche Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Fri 3 Apr, 21:00
Vallecano
10 Full time
Elche
Vallecano 1–0 Elche

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 24%
Away 23%

💡 Vallecano are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1474 v 1437 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index DWDDL v LDLLW Vallecano 1.2 · Elche 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Elche

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1474 vs 1437).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Elche. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoDWDDL1.2 ppg
ElcheLDLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1474
Elche1437
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 28% · 17%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning45% · 21% · 34%

AI match preview

Vallecano enters this La Liga clash with a 53% probability of securing a home win against Elche, who hold a 23% chance of an upset. The model projects a tight contest with an expected scoreline of 1-0, reflecting a moderately defensive encounter given the 42% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and 44% chance both teams score. These projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly; please gamble with care (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.58 – 0.77

Most likely score

1-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Vallecano 1–0 Elche
Dec 2025 Elche 4–0 Vallecano