Alaves vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 5 Apr, 21:00
Alaves
22 Full time
Osasuna
Alaves 2–2 Osasuna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 32%
Away 32%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1441 v 1496 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index DLLDW v WLDLW Alaves 1.0 · Osasuna 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Osasuna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1496 vs 1441).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Alaves
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesDLLDW1.0 ppg
OsasunaWLDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1441
Osasuna1496
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 36% · 22%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning35% · 39% · 27%

AI match preview

Alaves and Osasuna are set for a tightly contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to a home win at 37%, though a draw is the most probable result at 32%. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring game, with Alaves predicted to score just over one goal and Osasuna under one, pointing to a likely 0-0 stalemate. With only a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, this match could hinge on narrow margins—remember, these are statistical projections, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.07 – 0.70

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 26%

Under 74%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Alaves 2–2 Osasuna
Dec 2025 Osasuna 3–0 Alaves