Girona vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Mon 6 Apr, 21:00
Girona
10 Full time
Villarreal
Girona 1–0 Villarreal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 29%
Away 43%

💡 Villarreal have a slight edge — leaning Villarreal, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1476 v 1588 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index DLDWL v WLWDW Girona 1.0 · Villarreal 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Villarreal

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Villarreal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1588 vs 1476).
  • Villarreal is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaDLDWL1.0 ppg
VillarrealWLWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1476
Villarreal1588
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 26% · 50%
Power Rating33% · 23% · 44%
Machine-learning14% · 43% · 43%

AI match preview

Girona host Villarreal in a La Liga clash where the model favors an away win at 43%, though a draw is nearly as likely at 29%, suggesting a tight contest. With expected goals of 1.17 for Girona and 1.76 for Villarreal, a 1-1 draw emerges as the most probable scoreline despite the slight edge to the visitors. Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring carry moderate probabilities of 56% and 59% respectively, highlighting potential attacking action; remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.17 – 1.76

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Girona 1–0 Villarreal
Aug 2025 Villarreal 5–0 Girona