Sevilla vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sat 11 Apr, 21:00
Sevilla
21 Full time
Ath Madrid
Sevilla 2–1 Ath Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 32%
Away 35%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1416 v 1580 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla v Ath Madrid

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1580 vs 1416).
  • Ath Madrid is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Sevilla

Green = favours Sevilla · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SevillaDDLLL0.4 ppg
Ath MadridWWWLL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla1416
Ath Madrid1580
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 31% · 43%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 52%
Machine-learning14% · 61% · 25%

AI match preview

Sevilla and Atletico Madrid are set for a tightly contested La Liga clash, with the model showing a slight edge to the visitors at 35%, but a draw remains a strong possibility at 32%. Expected goals suggest a modestly open game, with a 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome and a near-even chance of both teams scoring at 49%. With under 2.5 goals favored at 58%, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.02 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Sevilla 2–1 Ath Madrid
Nov 2025 Ath Madrid 3–0 Sevilla