Ath Bilbao vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 12 Apr, 21:00
Ath Bilbao
12 Full time
Villarreal
Ath Bilbao 1–2 Villarreal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 30%
Away 33%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1458 v 1576 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ath Bilbao v Villarreal

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Villarreal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1576 vs 1458).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Ath Bilbao

Green = favours Ath Bilbao · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath BilbaoDLLWL0.8 ppg
VillarrealLWDWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Bilbao1458
Villarreal1576
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 30% · 37%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning15% · 46% · 39%

AI match preview

Ath Bilbao and Villarreal are set for a tightly contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the hosts at 37%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 30%. Both teams are projected to score around 1.3 goals each, suggesting a balanced encounter likely to end 1-1. With a 54% chance of both teams scoring and under 50% probability for over 2.5 goals, expect a competitive match where defensive solidity could be key. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.31

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Ath Bilbao 1–2 Villarreal
Sept 2025 Villarreal 1–0 Ath Bilbao