Ath Bilbao vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Tue 21 Apr, 19:00
Ath Bilbao
10 Full time
Osasuna
Ath Bilbao 1–0 Osasuna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 30%
Away 25%

💡 Ath Bilbao are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1449 v 1495 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Osasuna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1495 vs 1449).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Ath Bilbao

Green = favours Ath Bilbao · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath BilbaoLLWLL0.6 ppg
OsasunaDLWDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Bilbao1449
Osasuna1495
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 35% · 24%
Power Rating39% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning37% · 36% · 28%

AI match preview

Ath Bilbao host Osasuna in a La Liga clash where the model gives the home side a 45% chance to win, slightly ahead of a 30% draw probability and 25% for an away victory. Despite Ath Bilbao’s edge in expected goals (1.12 vs. 0.80), the most likely score remains a goalless draw, highlighting a potentially tight contest. With only a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, this match may lean towards a low-scoring affair; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.12 – 0.80

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 30%

Under 70%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Ath Bilbao 1–0 Osasuna
Jan 2026 Osasuna 1–1 Ath Bilbao