Mallorca vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Tue 21 Apr, 19:00
Mallorca
11 Full time
Valencia
Mallorca 1–1 Valencia

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 26%
Away 30%

💡 Mallorca have a slight edge — leaning Mallorca, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1470 v 1466 Mallorca rated higher
Form Index 2 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Mallorca v Valencia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1470 vs 1466).
  • Mallorca is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Mallorca
Goal expectation
Mallorca
Home advantage
Mallorca

Green = favours Mallorca · Blue = favours Valencia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MallorcaDWLWW2 ppg
ValenciaWLWLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Mallorca1470
Valencia1466
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 26% · 18%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning54% · 21% · 25%

AI match preview

Mallorca face Valencia in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a 44% chance of victory, slightly ahead of Valencia's 30% and a 26% likelihood of a draw. The model projects 1.77 expected goals for Mallorca against 0.91 for Valencia, with a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline. There's an even split on attacking output, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance both teams will score; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.77 – 0.91

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Mallorca 1–1 Valencia
Dec 2025 Valencia 1–1 Mallorca