Elche vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Wed 22 Apr, 19:00
Elche
32 Full time
Ath Madrid
Elche 3–2 Ath Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 30%
Away 35%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 35.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 35.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1439 v 1566 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Elche v Ath Madrid

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1566 vs 1439).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Elche
Home advantage
Elche

Green = favours Elche · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ElcheLLWLW1.2 ppg
Ath MadridWWLLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Elche1439
Ath Madrid1566
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 32% · 27%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 46%
Machine-learning21% · 47% · 32%

AI match preview

Elche and Ath Madrid are projected to share the spoils in a closely contested La Liga clash, with a draw carrying a 30% probability and the model indicating a 1-1 scoreline as most likely. Both sides are expected to score, reflected in a 46% chance for BTTS, while the match has a moderate 39% chance of producing over 2.5 goals. These projections highlight a balanced encounter, but as always, remember these are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.25 – 0.98

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Elche 3–2 Ath Madrid
Aug 2025 Ath Madrid 1–1 Elche