Vallecano vs Sociedad Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 26 Apr, 14:00
Vallecano
33 Full time
Sociedad
Vallecano 3–3 Sociedad

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 30%
Away 34%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1473 v 1506 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1473 vs 1506).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Sociedad. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoDLWLW1.4 ppg
SociedadWLWDL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1473
Sociedad1506
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 33% · 22%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning25% · 39% · 37%

AI match preview

Vallecano and Sociedad are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side but a draw also highly probable at 30%. Expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline being 0-0, reflecting tight defenses and cautious play. With under 2.5 goals favored and both teams scoring less than 40% of the time, this match could hinge on a moment of individual quality—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.21 – 0.76

Most likely score

0-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Vallecano 3–3 Sociedad
Oct 2025 Sociedad 0–1 Vallecano