Oviedo vs Elche Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 26 Apr, 16:15
Oviedo
12 Full time
Elche
Oviedo 1–2 Elche

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 30%
Away 32%

💡 Oviedo have a slight edge — leaning Oviedo, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1425 v 1452 Elche rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1425 vs 1452).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Elche
Form Index
Oviedo
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Oviedo

Green = favours Oviedo · Blue = favours Elche. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OviedoWLWWD2.0 ppg
ElcheLWLWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Oviedo1425
Elche1452
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 38% · 31%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning29% · 30% · 41%

AI match preview

Oviedo hosts Elche in what promises to be a tightly contested La Liga match, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38% probability. Both teams are expected to create few clear-cut chances, reflected in the low expected goals (0.85 vs. 0.83) and a most likely scoreline of 0-0. With under 2.5 goals favored and just a 34% chance of both teams scoring, this game could hinge on a single moment—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.85 – 0.83

Most likely score

0-0

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 24%

Under 76%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Oviedo 1–2 Elche
Sept 2025 Elche 1–0 Oviedo