Osasuna vs Sevilla Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 26 Apr, 18:30
Osasuna
21 Full time
Sevilla
Osasuna 2–1 Sevilla

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 23%
Away 24%

💡 Osasuna are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1485 v 1417 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index 1 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Osasuna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1485 vs 1417).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Osasuna
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Sevilla. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaLWDDL1 ppg
SevillaLLLWL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1485
Sevilla1417
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 24% · 20%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning55% · 17% · 28%

AI match preview

Osasuna hold a slight statistical edge with a 53% chance of a home win against Sevilla, though a draw remains a plausible outcome at 23%. The model projects nearly 2 expected goals for Osasuna versus just over 1 for Sevilla, suggesting a moderately open game with a 60% chance of both teams scoring and the match exceeding 2.5 goals. While the most likely scoreline is 1-1, these projections highlight probabilities rather than certainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.99 – 1.13

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Osasuna 2–1 Sevilla
Nov 2025 Sevilla 1–0 Osasuna