Elche vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sat 9 May, 14:00
Elche
11 Full time
Alaves
Elche 1–1 Alaves

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 25%
Away 27%

💡 Elche are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1452 v 1431 Elche rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1452 vs 1431).
  • Elche is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Elche
Form Index
Elche
Goal expectation
Elche
Home advantage
Elche

Green = favours Elche · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ElcheLWWWL1.8 ppg
AlavesDDLWL1 ppg
Power Rating
Elche1452
Alaves1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 26% · 18%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning56% · 20% · 25%

AI match preview

Elche hold a slight edge with a 48% chance to win against Alaves, while a draw and away victory are less likely at 25% and 27% respectively. The model forecasts a moderately tight encounter with expected goals favoring the home side 1.81 to 0.96, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1. With just over half the projections suggesting both teams scoring and a game exceeding 2.5 goals, this match promises competitive action—remember, these are statistical probabilities and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.81 – 0.96

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Elche 1–1 Alaves
Oct 2025 Alaves 3–1 Elche