Ath Bilbao vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 10 May, 16:15
Ath Bilbao
01 Full time
Valencia
Ath Bilbao 0–1 Valencia

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 25%
Away 22%

💡 Ath Bilbao are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1473 v 1462 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ath Bilbao v Valencia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1473 vs 1462).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Ath Bilbao

Green = favours Ath Bilbao · Blue = favours Valencia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath BilbaoLLWLW1.2 ppg
ValenciaLLDWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Bilbao1473
Valencia1462
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 31% · 22%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning52% · 23% · 25%

AI match preview

Athletic Bilbao enters this La Liga clash with a 53% chance to secure a home win against Valencia, who hold a 22% chance of taking all three points. The model projects a closely contested match with expected goals favoring Bilbao 1.38 to 0.86, yet interestingly predicts a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline. With only a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% chance both teams score, this game could hinge on tight margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 0.86

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Ath Bilbao 0–1 Valencia
Sept 2025 Valencia 2–0 Ath Bilbao