Vallecano vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Mon 11 May, 21:00
Vallecano
11 Full time
Girona
Vallecano 1–1 Girona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 26%
Away 28%

💡 Vallecano are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1493 v 1460 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index 2 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Girona

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1493 vs 1460).
  • Vallecano is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoWLWDW2 ppg
GironaWDLLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1493
Girona1460
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 33% · 22%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning47% · 21% · 32%

AI match preview

Vallecano hold a slight edge at home with a 45% chance of victory over Girona, who are pegged at 28%, while a draw sits at 26%. The model projects a low-scoring affair with an expected 1.26 goals for Vallecano and 0.78 for Girona, making a 1-0 result the most probable. With only a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, this contest looks tight and tactical—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 0.78

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Vallecano 1–1 Girona
Aug 2025 Girona 1–3 Vallecano