Osasuna vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Tue 12 May, 21:30
Osasuna
12 Full time
Ath Madrid
Osasuna 1–2 Ath Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 30%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1475 v 1560 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1560 vs 1475).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Osasuna
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaDLWLL0.8 ppg
Ath MadridLLWWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1475
Ath Madrid1560
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 30% · 31%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning23% · 42% · 35%

AI match preview

Osasuna and Atlético Madrid are set for a tightly contested La Liga clash, with the model giving the visitors a slight edge at 36% to win, while a draw holds a 30% probability. Both teams are projected to score, with an expected goals tally of 1.39 for Osasuna and 1.21 for Atlético, pointing towards a balanced 1-1 scoreline as the most likely outcome. With a 54% chance of both teams finding the net and under 50% for over 2.5 goals, this match could hinge on narrow margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.21

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Osasuna 1–2 Ath Madrid
Oct 2025 Ath Madrid 1–0 Osasuna