Valencia vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Thu 14 May, 19:00
Valencia
11 Full time
Vallecano
Valencia 1–1 Vallecano

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 28%
Away 28%

💡 Valencia have a slight edge — leaning Valencia, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1475 v 1490 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valencia v Vallecano

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1475 vs 1490).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Valencia
Home advantage
Valencia

Green = favours Valencia · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValenciaLDWLW1.4 ppg
VallecanoLWDWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Valencia1475
Vallecano1490
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 30% · 23%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning48% · 26% · 26%

AI match preview

Valencia hosts Vallecano in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 44% chance of victory, while a draw or away win both stand at 28%. The expected goals suggest a moderately tight contest, with a 1-1 scoreline being the most probable outcome despite Valencia’s marginally higher scoring forecast. With under 2.5 goals favored and less than half the matches expected to see both teams scoring, this encounter could hinge on a single moment, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.40 – 0.93

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Mestalla Valencia, Spain Capacity 49,430 · grass
Mainly clear · 20°C
Feels like 18.6°C Wind 18 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Valencia 1–1 Vallecano
Dec 2025 Vallecano 1–1 Valencia