Girona vs Sociedad Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Thu 14 May, 20:00
Girona
11 Full time
Sociedad
Girona 1–1 Sociedad

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 27%
Away 32%

💡 Girona have a slight edge — leaning Girona, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1463 v 1494 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1463 vs 1494).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Sociedad
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Sociedad. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaDLLLD0.4 ppg
SociedadDLDLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1463
Sociedad1494
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 29% · 41%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning26% · 33% · 41%

AI match preview

Girona hosts Sociedad in a La Liga clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 41%, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with a 1-1 scoreline most likely and a moderate chance of both teams scoring at 56%. With just over half the probability for more than 2.5 goals, this match could hinge on small moments—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.47

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass
Light rain · 13.5°C
Feels like 13.4°C Wind 5 km/h Rain chance 98%
Wet pitch likely

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Girona 1–1 Sociedad
Dec 2025 Sociedad 1–2 Girona