Ath Bilbao vs Celta Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 19:00
Ath Bilbao
11 Full time
Celta
Ath Bilbao 1–1 Celta

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 31%
Away 33%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1443 v 1504 Celta rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Celta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1504 vs 1443).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Celta
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Celta
Home advantage
Ath Bilbao

Green = favours Ath Bilbao · Blue = favours Celta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath BilbaoWLWLL1.2 ppg
CeltaLLWWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Bilbao1443
Celta1504
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 33% · 43%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning25% · 38% · 38%

AI match preview

Ath Bilbao and Celta are poised for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 36% but a draw remains a strong possibility at 31%. The expected goals favor Celta marginally (1.24 to 0.88), suggesting a tight match likely to produce few clear-cut chances, with 1-1 as the most probable scoreline. With only a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and BTTS at 43%, fans should anticipate a competitive encounter; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.88 – 1.24

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Ath Bilbao 1–1 Celta
Dec 2025 Celta 2–0 Ath Bilbao