Oviedo vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 19:00
Oviedo
01 Full time
Alaves
Oviedo 0–1 Alaves

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 32%
Away 40%

💡 Alaves have a slight edge — leaning Alaves, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1398 v 1452 Alaves rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Oviedo v Alaves

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Why we predict this

  • Alaves is the stronger side on Power Rating (1452 vs 1398).
  • Alaves is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alaves
Form Index
Alaves
Goal expectation
Alaves
Home advantage
Oviedo

Green = favours Oviedo · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OviedoDLLDL0.4 ppg
AlavesLWLDW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Oviedo1398
Alaves1452
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 39% · 36%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning24% · 42% · 33%

AI match preview

Oviedo hosts Alaves in a La Liga clash where the model gives the visitors a 40% chance to win, slightly edging the home side and draw probabilities. With expected goals under 1 for both teams and a 0-0 as the most likely scoreline, this game looks set to be a tight, low-scoring affair. Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring have low probabilities, suggesting a cautious match; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.71 – 0.88

Most likely score

0-0

22% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 21%

Under 79%

Both teams to score

Yes 31%

No 69%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Oviedo 0–1 Alaves
Jan 2026 Alaves 1–1 Oviedo