Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 19:00
Sevilla
01 Full time
Real Madrid
Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 28%
Away 50%

💡 Real Madrid are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1448 v 1647 Real Madrid rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla v Real Madrid

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Why we predict this

  • Real Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1647 vs 1448).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Madrid
Form Index
Real Madrid
Goal expectation
Real Madrid
Home advantage
Sevilla

Green = favours Sevilla · Blue = favours Real Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SevillaLLWWW1.8 ppg
Real MadridWDWLW2 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla1448
Real Madrid1647
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model18% · 25% · 57%
Power Rating27% · 15% · 58%
Machine-learning8% · 53% · 40%

AI match preview

Sevilla host Real Madrid in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 50% chance of victory, according to model projections, while a draw is slightly more likely than a home win. Expected goals favor Real Madrid with 1.90 compared to Sevilla’s 0.99, yet the most probable scoreline remains a balanced 1-1. There is also a moderate 55% likelihood for both teams to score and for the match to exceed 2.5 goals; these are statistical probabilities and all betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.99 – 1.90

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass
Mainly clear · 22.4°C
Feels like 20.4°C Wind 16 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid
Dec 2025 Real Madrid 2–0 Sevilla