Sociedad vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 19:00
Sociedad
34 Full time
Valencia
Sociedad 3–4 Valencia

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 26%
Away 27%

💡 Sociedad are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1495 v 1473 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sociedad v Valencia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1495 vs 1473).
  • Valencia is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Valencia
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Sociedad

Green = favours Sociedad · Blue = favours Valencia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SociedadLDLDD0.6 ppg
ValenciaDWLWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Sociedad1495
Valencia1473
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 25% · 21%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning64% · 22% · 14%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad host Valencia in a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model favoring a home win at 48% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 26%. Expected goals suggest Sociedad hold the edge (1.90 to 1.13), yet the most likely scoreline is a balanced 1-1. There’s a moderate chance of a high-scoring game, with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score each projected around 58-59%. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.13

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Sociedad 3–4 Valencia
Aug 2025 Valencia 1–1 Sociedad