Vallecano vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 19:00
Vallecano
20 Full time
Villarreal
Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 29%
Away 32%

💡 Vallecano have a slight edge — leaning Vallecano, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1492 v 1579 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Villarreal

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Why we predict this

  • Villarreal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1579 vs 1492).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoWDWDD1.8 ppg
VillarrealDWWDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1492
Villarreal1579
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 33% · 30%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning16% · 38% · 46%

AI match preview

Vallecano host Villarreal in a closely contested La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight statistical edge with a 39% chance of victory compared to Villarreal's 32%, while a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. The expected goals are tight, 1.16 for Vallecano and 1.01 for Villarreal, suggesting a competitive match likely to see goals from both sides, with a 45% probability for BTTS and a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals. According to the model, a 1-1 draw is the most probable scoreline, but all outcomes remain plausible; please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.01

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal
Nov 2025 Villarreal 4–0 Vallecano